Hi Nat,

In the Mid January update La Nina was slightly favored over ENSO Neutral for next winter. What are the signs that are tipping the scale toward La Nina. We aren't close to the Spring Barrier yet so I know they are unreliable. Beginning in February some of the models are showing a spike in SSTs in the 3.4 heading into fall. The BOM Australia blended model shows the same. At least I would think if another La Nina was going to occur that we would see SSTs start to dip during fall.