At current rates, the Global Carbon Budget estimates, there’s a 50 percent likelihood that global average air temperatures will regularly exceed the 1.5-degree Celsius target (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) by 2031.
A newly published study projects an increase in the variability of Atlantic tropical cyclone activity, leading to more active and inactive hurricane seasons and less near-normal seasons.
The expected La Niña has been slow to develop. There's still a 57% chance it will emerge soon, and the atmosphere is already looking a bit like La Niña. Our blogger discusses some of the climate conditions at work in the tropical Pacific.
During the 2020-2022 drought, evaporation accounted for 61 percent of the drought’s severity, while reduced precipitation only accounted for only 39 percent.
Drought data over 2001-2021 suggest that in the western United States, low rainfall drove droughts but in the central and eastern U.S., low soil moisture and high evaporation played a bigger role.
Marine heatwaves create high-pressure atmospheric conditions that weaken coastal circulation in the Gulf of Alaska, reducing the formation of the eddies essential for supporting marine life.
While aerosol changes have varied across regions since 1980, these regional differences have influenced global tropical cyclone activity in distinct ways over recent decades.
A new study reveals significant acceleration in the upper-ocean circulation of the equatorial Pacific over the past 30 years, primarily driven by intensified atmospheric winds.
Recurring sea level patterns to show it’s possible to predict large-scale sea level patterns and even anticipate coastal variations up to 8 years in advance.
The Northern Hemisphere’s aerosols and land reflect more sunlight, balanced by the Southern Hemisphere’s low- and mid-level clouds. Both hemispheres are darkening, but it’s unclear if this change is happening equally.