January brought the country both warm and cold extremes; which is likely to dominate in February?
Global Climate Modeling
The predicted combination of a much warmer than average and much drier than average September across the country's middle is bad news for the ongoing drought in the Plains and Deep South.
The chance that El Niño will continue through the winter is greater than 95%. What's behind the forecast? And what could El Niño mean for global temperatures?
It’s springtime! Here’s why ENSO forecasters would rather skip the forecast even when a potentially significant El Niño appears to be developing.
En realidad, desde diversos puntos de vista, es más difícil pronosticar el tiempo para dentro de dos semanas que pronosticar el clima con décadas de anticipación.
How did the 2019-20 Winter Outlook do? Pretty darn good if you ask us! Learn just how good in our yearly verification post.
What goes into NOAA’s winter outlook when ENSO is in neutral? The Climate Prediction Center’s Mike Halpert discusses the details.
Our ENSO blogger sits down with Ken Takahashi, an ENSO forecaster from Peru, to gab about the recent coastal El Niño and what might be coming up next.
Because why go to the movies when you come to Climate.gov and watch the evolution of ENSO forecasts over the past two years?
Why is it so difficult to make a good ENSO prediction during the Northern Hemisphere spring?