RE: Southern hemisphere and Africa
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Thanks for the comment Peta. You are certainly correct in noting that El Nino's have a global impact (and not just in the northern Hemisphere). You can see here the precipitation patterns for ENSO events in December-February for the globe. In the top picture, it can be seen that there is a dry signal in southern Africa during El Nino events.
As for climate change and ENSO, stay tuned for future posts.