La Nina conditions are solidly in place, and are expected to affect global weather through the winter.
Despite some stormy interference from the MJO in October, La Niña conditions have arrived. NOAA predicts this "double-dip" La Niña will last through winter.
ENSO forecasters are maintaining the La Niña Watch, but not declaring La Niña, as we wait for the tropical Pacific to settle down.
Our blogger delves into the thinking behind this month’s La Niña Watch.
Want to know a little bit about how climate models work?
Our blogger discusses the ENSO forecast, with a side of climate change.
The chance El Niño will develop is about equal to the chance that the tropical Pacific will stay in neutral. What are forecasters looking at this month?
The tropical Pacific has shifted into neutral. Our blogger reviews the evidence under consideration by forecasters this month.
La Niña has ended. Our blogger covers what happened last month and what forecasters think is in store for the next few months.
La Niña conditions are still in place, but a transition to neutral is looming. Our blogger takes stock of the season.