Our blogger discusses the ENSO forecast, with a side of climate change.
The chance El Niño will develop is about equal to the chance that the tropical Pacific will stay in neutral. What are forecasters looking at this month?
The tropical Pacific has shifted into neutral. Our blogger reviews the evidence under consideration by forecasters this month.
La Niña has ended. Our blogger covers what happened last month and what forecasters think is in store for the next few months.
La Niña conditions are still in place, but a transition to neutral is looming. Our blogger takes stock of the season.
La Niña is forecast to hang on for just a few more months. Meanwhile, November was an active month in the tropics.
This month, all signs are pointing to the presence of La Niña conditions.
Odds are back on for the development of La Niña this fall. Our blogger discusses what happened during September to change the forecast.
The odds of La Niña have dropped since last month, and forecasters have dropped the La Niña Watch. Our blogger explains what's happening.
Even when the tropical Pacific is coasting along in neutral, there’s plenty to talk about.