How much do ENSO blog writers like marine-based observations? Enough for one of them to write a love letter to a buoy.
Now that the 2016-2017 winter is over with, it's time to look back and see what happened. Did our winter outlook do well?
How does La Niña and the jet stream impact winter conditions in the United States?
Understanding the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) as multiple layers of ice cream. And how is it related to the El Niño-Southern Oscillation?
With multiple sea surface temperature datasets come questions. What are they all for?
...but it's still a seasonal forecaster's best friend.
How do we verify forecasts that use probabilities? Read on to find out.
Blogger Tom Di Liberto explains the math behind some of the tests that seasonal forecasters use to check forecast skill, and then shows how skillful the past decade's winter forecasts have been.
A first look at how we evaluate seasonal forecasts. How well do our eyes do?
An El Niño means lots of rain for California, correct? Well, some of the time, but not always.