When forecasters remove the observed trend from sea surface temperatures, the predicted heat wave area drops from 50 percent of the global ocean to 25 percent.
Will El Niño push the planet to a new record-high temperature in 2023? Our guest blogger explains what past years tell us.
El Niño conditions are present and expected to continue into the winter. Our blogger discusses the thinking behind the forecast, including the possibility of a strong El Niño event.
At the ENSO Blog, we often mention the North American Multi-Model Ensemble. Here's your formal introduction to the NMME!
The warm phase of Earth's most powerful natural climate pattern appears to be on its way.
Things are heating up in the tropical Pacific! Our blogger explains how this might be a sign that El Niño is right around the corner.
It’s springtime! Here’s why ENSO forecasters would rather skip the forecast even when a potentially significant El Niño appears to be developing.
With a 62% chance that El Niño conditions will develop by May–July, NOAA is issuing an El Niño Watch.
NOAA's network of moored buoys in the tropical Pacific is getting an upgrade that will help scientists better understand and predict El Niño and La Nina.