Our blogger explains how scientists grade seasonal outlooks and talks about how this winter's outlooks for U.S. temperature and precipitation performed.
La Niña is in the rearview mirror! Our blogger recaps current conditions, looks ahead to later this year, and looks back at the past winter's global climate patterns.
La Niña is still hanging around, but a transition to neutral conditions is imminent. Also, our blogger continues the investigation into how ENSO affects daily temperature variability.
For the last 40 years, the tropical Pacific has been trending toward a La Nina-like pattern. Will this trend continue into the future? What are the implications? Three experts dig into these questions and more.
No, your eyes are not deceiving you. The latest ENSO Outlook does in fact favor the end of La Niña with a slightly over 80% chance that ENSO-Neutral conditions will reign supreme by springtime. For more on that and another look at how daily temperatures vary during winter, click below.
The January 2023 climate outlook favors a wetter-than-average start to the new year for the western US, northern Plains, Great Lakes and Tennessee Valley, and a warmer-than-average month for the central and eastern United States.
Two guest bloggers explain how Rossby waves create a globe-spanning superhighway that connects climate patterns even when they are far apart.
With the third La Niña winter in a row well underway, our blogger takes a look at how La Niña influences the range of winter daily temperatures.
The December 2022 climate outlook favors a colder-than-average month across the northern US, and a warmer-than-average month across the southern US. Meanwhile, odds are tilted towards a wetter-than-average December for the West and Ohio and Tennessee Valleys.
As forecasts have predicted for several months, a third La Niña winter in a row is on our doorstep. Our blogger explains what it might mean for average temperature and precipitation across the U.S.