Guest blogger John Allen recaps tornado activity so far in 2021 and discusses the limits of using ENSO to predict seasonal tornado activity.
Measuring and Modeling Climate
Instrumental measurements, proxy data, climate model projections
A climate expert proposes an alternative for defining what's average when it comes to predicting El Niño and La Niña.
Because why go to the movies when you come to Climate.gov and watch the evolution of ENSO forecasts over the past two years?
The 2015-2016 El Niño will go down as one of the strongest on record, and also, thanks to El Niño Rapid Response Campaign, one of the best observed.
With multiple sea surface temperature datasets come questions. What are they all for?
Deke Arndt, chief of the Monitoring Branch at the National Centers for Environmental Information, kicks off a new blog that will cover how climate records are collected and updated, how we know what we know about the climate, and how we can use climate information to make our communities more resilient.
ENSO is a complicated thing to model. What are the challenges, and how can we overcome them?
The model predictions during 2014 were not that shabby. A major, strong El Niño was not well justified by the predictions.
After some very cold weather this month, folks are likely wondering if the early chill is a harbinger of things to come this winter. "Not necessarily," explains Mike Halpert of NOAA's Climate Prediction Center in this week's ENSO blog post.
How to interpret climate outlooks and make $$$$ millions.* **OK, maybe an overstatement, but you'll at least understand probabilistic forecasts better.