NCEI's Deke Arndt blogs about how El Niño—like an erratic bartender—doesn't always bring the country the seasonal climate we'd expect.
El Niño is a global phenomenon. Guest blogger Dr. Andrew Watkins shines some light on El Niño's impact across the world in Australia.
This week's bloggers use the historical record to generate 10,000 possible scenarios for the remainder of 2015. In 97% of them, 2015 sets a new record temperature.
ENSO forecasters are predicting this El Niño will be a strong one. What does that mean?
Part science expert, part ringmaster, Jessica Blunden shares the challenges and the value of putting together the State of the Climate report every year.
“El Niño is Strong!” “No, it’s Moderate!” “But the [insert your favorite ENSO indicator here] is the largest it’s been since the El Niño of 1997-98!”
NCEI's Jake Crouch reflects on entering the field of climate monitoring during a historic drought in the Southern Plains.
...but it's still a seasonal forecaster's best friend.
Why ranking the years is kinda genius, and kinda dumb.
Everyone's asking if the arrival of El Niño guarantees that 2015 will set a new record for warmest global temperature. In his latest blog, Deke Arndt explains why it's possible--maybe even likely--but not guaranteed.