At the ENSO Blog, we often mention the North American Multi-Model Ensemble. Here's your formal introduction to the NMME!
ENSO Blog
A blog about monitoring and forecasting El Niño, La Niña, and its impacts.
Things are heating up in the tropical Pacific! Our blogger explains how this might be a sign that El Niño is right around the corner.
It’s springtime! Here’s why ENSO forecasters would rather skip the forecast even when a potentially significant El Niño appears to be developing.
With a 62% chance that El Niño conditions will develop by May–July, NOAA is issuing an El Niño Watch.
Our blogger explains how scientists grade seasonal outlooks and talks about how this winter's outlooks for U.S. temperature and precipitation performed.
La Niña is in the rearview mirror! Our blogger recaps current conditions, looks ahead to later this year, and looks back at the past winter's global climate patterns.
More often than not, La Niña brings dry winters to the U.S. Southwest. Was there something unusual about our current La Niña that would explain why the area got soaked instead?
La Niña is still hanging around, but a transition to neutral conditions is imminent. Also, our blogger continues the investigation into how ENSO affects daily temperature variability.
For the last 40 years, the tropical Pacific has been trending toward a La Nina-like pattern. Will this trend continue into the future? What are the implications? Three experts dig into these questions and more.
No, your eyes are not deceiving you. The latest ENSO Outlook does in fact favor the end of La Niña with a slightly over 80% chance that ENSO-Neutral conditions will reign supreme by springtime. For more on that and another look at how daily temperatures vary during winter, click below.