At the ENSO Blog, we often mention the North American Multi-Model Ensemble. Here's your formal introduction to the NMME!
With a 62% chance that El Niño conditions will develop by May–July, NOAA is issuing an El Niño Watch.
La Niña is in the rearview mirror! Our blogger recaps current conditions, looks ahead to later this year, and looks back at the past winter's global climate patterns.
La Niña is still hanging around, but a transition to neutral conditions is imminent. Also, our blogger continues the investigation into how ENSO affects daily temperature variability.
No, your eyes are not deceiving you. The latest ENSO Outlook does in fact favor the end of La Niña with a slightly over 80% chance that ENSO-Neutral conditions will reign supreme by springtime. For more on that and another look at how daily temperatures vary during winter, click below.
With the third La Niña winter in a row well underway, our blogger takes a look at how La Niña influences the range of winter daily temperatures.
La Niña is very likely to last through the winter for the third year in a row. What might be next?
Call it what you like—triple-dip, three-peat, three-bean salad—we are facing the third La Niña winter in a row.
It's all but a done deal: odds of La Niña this winter are higher than 90 percent. Plus a reminder list of why we care so much about La Niña.
The tropical Pacific appears to be hopelessly devoted to La Niña for at least the early part of winter.